home *** CD-ROM | disk | FTP | other *** search
- <text id=94TT1299>
- <title>
- Sep. 26, 1994: To Our Readers
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1994
- Sep. 26, 1994 Taking Over Haiti
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- TO OUR READERS, Page 4
- Elizabeth Valk Long, President
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p> Over the past quarter-century, Kevin Phillips has built a reputation
- as a peerless predictor of major political trends. His first
- book, The Emerging Republican Majority, published in 1969, correctly
- forecast that the postwar Democratic dominance of presidential
- politics was over. Two decades and five books later, 1990's
- The Politics of Rich and Poor announced that the Republicans,
- in turn, would be turned out in a wave of neopopulism--and,
- thanks to Ross Perot and Bill Clinton, out they went.
- </p>
- <p> So when TIME was offered the chance to print an excerpt from
- Phillips' eighth tome, Arrogant Capital, to be published next
- week by Little, Brown, we naturally jumped at it. The result
- appears in this issue, and it is classic Phillips: in-depth
- analysis, grounded in American political history and leading
- to provocative conclusions. Says Phillips, 54: "The American
- people are saying we have to change the current political system.
- The whole thrust of the book is that they're right."
- </p>
- <p> The problem, he asserts, is that Washington's special interests--lobbyists, think tanks, congressional staffs, departmental
- bureaucracies--have grown so powerful that even a shift from
- Republican to Democratic dominance cannot change the nation's
- direction. A less confident commentator might stop there, but
- not Phillips. He lays out a program for change that could restore
- power to the people--if Washington insiders would let it happen.
- "That, of course," he says, "is the crucial question."
- </p>
- <p> Tracking political trends has been Phillips' obsession since
- he was in his teens. "I was already a voting-patterns nut in
- high school," he recalls. His senior thesis at Colgate in 1961
- documented the shift in Republican support away from the Northeast
- and into the Sunbelt (which term he coined). Phillips went on
- to Harvard Law School and then onto the staff of Paul Fino,
- a Republican Congressman. From there, he joined the Nixon presidential
- campaign and, after Nixon's victory, the staff of Attorney General
- John Mitchell. "Because of my book, though," he says, "I was
- too controversial. I had to resign--luckily for me, since
- I would have been asked to work on the 1972 campaign."
- </p>
- <p> Instead, Phillips began writing a newspaper column, founded
- American Political Report, the newsletter he still publishes
- and edits, and started work on his series of highly influential
- books. The latest one may prove to be prescient, but at the
- very least, as you will see from the excerpt inside, it is profoundly
- thought provoking.
- </p>
-
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
-
-